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1 result for "Federal Reserve"

1 result for “Federal Reserve”

Chart: soft (sentiment) data forecast recessions about as well as hard economic data one month ahead, per SF Fed Working Paper 2026-14. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

New Fed Study: The National Mood May Warn of a Recession Before the Data

A recent Federal Reserve study indicates that consumer sentiment can forecast recessions effectively.

Reese PruettJuly 23, 2026/1 min read